The principal measure of inflation, the consumer prices index, is calculated from price changes in a basket of goods. The composition of this basket is changed each year to reflect changes in consumer spending patterns. 2008 sees smoothies, USB storage devices and muffins coming into the basket, while ready meals and 35mm camera film have had their day and leave the basket of goods.
What’s in and what’s out in 2008 Guardian (17/3/08)
Fruit smoothies in, ready meals out Guardian (17/3/08)
Smoothie pour into cost of living basket Guardian (17/3/08)
Let them eat sourdough bread, olives and sun-dried tomatoes Guardian (17/3/08)
Smoothies join basket of goods used to calculate inflation Times Online (18/3/08)
Questions
| 1. |
Explain what is meant by a weighted index. Why does the consumer prices index (CPI) need to be a weighted index? |
| 2. |
Explain how the CPI is calculated. |
| 3. |
Discuss why annual percentage changes in the CPI may not be an appropriate measure of inflation for all groups in society. |
Rapid economic growth in China has pushed inflation to an 11-year high of 8.7% in February 2008. This was driven significantly by higher food prices, with the price of pork rising by nearly 64%. This higher level of inflation has led to concerns that policy may need to be tightened.
Sweet and sour pork The Economist (13/3/08)
China inflation hits fresh high BBC News Online (11/3/08)
Chinese inflation alarms authorities Guardian (11/3/08)
Chinese warn on decade-high inflation Times Online (5/3/08)
Chinese inflation shoots to 11-year high Times Online (11/3/07)
China tries to apply brakes to economy Guardian (4/3/08)
Questions
| 1. |
What are the main causes of rising inflation in China? |
| 2. |
Assess the extent to which policy needs to be tightened to counter the rising level of inflation in China. What would be the possible downsides of such a policy? |
| 3. |
Discuss possible policy changes that could be implemented by the Chinese government to reduce the level of inflation. |
The Budget 2008 was quite an under-stated affair, but was the first delivered by Alistair Darling as Chancellor. As ever, many of the changes had been announced well in advance, reducing the element of surprise. But the Budget remains an important event. Note that the Budget websites can also be useful reference sources for economic policy changes.
Budget 2008 Guardian Budget Special
Interactive: Budget 2008 Guardian (11/03/08)
What to tell us on Budget day: where our money is going and how it can be stopped Guardian (10/03/08)
Budget 2008 BBC News Online Budget Special
Videos and podcasts
Old Mother Hubbard Guardian (13/03/08)
Budget speech in full (Video) BBC News Online (12/03/08)
For details of the Budget measures, you may want to look at:
Budget 2008 HM Treasury Budget pages HM Treasury Budget microsite HM Treasury (March 08)
Questions
| 1. |
What are the key changes in the Budget? What effects are they likely to have on the economy? |
| 2. |
Assess the extent to which this Budget can be considered a ‘Green Budget’. |
| 3. |
How has the Budget changed the overall fiscal position of the government? |
| 4. |
Discuss the likely impact of the Budget on small and large businesses. |
Shell have announced record profits of $27bn. This is the highest profit ever made by a European company and is only surpassed worldwide by the annual profits of another oil company ExxonMobil at $40bn. These high profits have led to calls for a windfall tax to be imposed on the oil companies and the articles below consider the likely impact of a tax of this nature.
Threat of windfall tax to energy companies is ‘legalised piracy’ Times Online (28/2/08)
Tax uncertainty a sure-fire killer Times Online (28/2/08)
Q&A: Windfall tax on Shell BBC News Online (31/1/08)
The great fuel folly Guardian (5/2/08)
Video
Windfall tax suggested for fuel profits BBC News Online (February 2008)
Questions
| 1. |
Using diagrams as appropriate, show the impact on the equilibrium level of price and output of Shell of a windfall tax being imposed on their profits. |
| 2. |
Discuss the extent to which the high level of profitability of oil companies is determined by the oil price. |
| 3. |
Analyse whether a windfall tax is an economically efficient form of taxation. What alternatives could a government consider that might be more efficient?
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China’s rate of inflation has hit an 11-year high, partly due to the cold winter weather destroying crops and pushing up food prices. However, inflationary pressure has been growing for some time with rapid economic growth and the resultant pressure on resources. This is despite six increases in interest rates in the past thirteen months.
Families feel pinch as inflation threatens economic miracle Guardian (25/2/08)
Chinese inflation soars to an 11-year high Times Online (20/2/08)
Chinese inflation hits 11 year high Times Online (19/2/08)
Questions
| 1. |
Explain the principal factors that have led to the increase in inflation in China. |
| 2. |
“Policymakers in China will likely try to tighten monetary policy further, with more reserve requirement ratio hikes, faster Chinese yuan appreciation, and more heavy handed controls over bank lending.” Discuss the likely effectiveness of these policy measures. |
| 3. |
Assess the extent to which changes in food prices will affect the overall level of aggregate demand in the Chinese economy. |