Changes in the price of oil have effects throughout the economy. And it’s not just on the obvious things, such as petrol prices, energy bills and rail, bus and air fares. Most companies are significantly affected by the price of oil, as oil is a key input into their production, whether for transporting their inputs or the goods they produce, or as plastics or other petrochemicals. This is why the price of oil receives so much attention: we’re all affected by it. You will have seen the price of petrol changing dramatically over the past year or so and this is largely due to changing oil prices. The price of oil peaked at $147 a barrel in July 2008 and fell as low as $32 a barrel in December 2008.
So what is it that causes these changes in oil prices and what does it mean for the world’s economies? Read the following articles, which discuss these issues, and look at recent developments in the oil industry.
First fall in oil use since 1993 BBC News (10/6/09)
Trump’s world view Fox News, Interview between Greta van Susteren and Donald Trump (30/6/09) Oil settles above $71; China to boost reserves The Associated Press, Dirk Lammers (29/6/09)
Nigeria worries push up oil price BBC News (29/6/09)
Oil up to near $72 on dollar fall, Nigeria attack Town Hall, Pablo Gorondi (30/6/09)
Chinese demand forecast to boost oil price The Star Phoenix, Joanne Paulson (30/6/09)
Lower oil price hits Total profit BBC News (6/5/09)
Oil price hovers at $70 amid pipeline attacks Financial Times, Miles Johnson, Javier Blas, London (27/6/09)
What is going on in the oil market? BBC News (27/10/08)
Rising oil prices poses threat to recovery, Alistair Darling warns Telegraph (12/6/09)
Fears of oil crunch recede as recession knocks down global demand The Independent, Sarah Arnott (30/6/09)
Questions
- How is the price of oil determined? Give 2 examples of factors that could cause (a) the price of oil to increase and (b) the price of oil to decrease.
- How are company profits affected by the changing price of oil?
- OPEC is an oil cartel. What are the factors that make collusion more likely to succeed? Do they apply to OPEC?
- When prices of oil increase, why do we still use similar amounts of energy; still buy petrol? What’s so special about this commodity? Think about elasticity.
- How is the price and consumption of oil affected by the macroeconomic situation?
In the article below Tim Harford (the Undercover Economist) looks at rationality in the purchase of cigarettes. He consider whether healthy and happy smokers are the same thing and the extent to which smokers would be happier if cigarettes were more expensive.
Why smokers are happier when cigarettes cost more MSN Slate (17/5/08)
Questions
| 1. |
Identify the principal factors that determine the level of demand for cigarettes. |
| 2. |
Given the factors identified in part (a), discuss the likely value of the price elasticity of demand for cigarettes. |
| 3. |
Discuss the extent to which higher cigarette prices would make smokers happier. |
Increased demand for milk and milk-based products has led to the EU agreeing to increase milk quotas by 2% from April. The move was backed by most countries but Germany and Austria opposed the move on the basis that increased quotas would push milk prices down and therefore hit many farmers.
EU farmers to produce more milk BBC News Online (17/3/08)
Questions
| 1. |
Using diagrams as appropriate, show how EU milk quotas affect the equilibrium price and level of output in the market for milk. |
| 2. |
Analyse the likely impact of a 2% increase in quotas on the equilibrium price and level of output in the market for milk. (n.b. as part of your answer you may like to consider the likely value of the price elasticity of demand for milk and the impact this is likely to have on the market price.) |
| 3. |
Discuss the effectiveness of using milk quotas in maintaining income levels for dairy farmers. |
The Civil Aviation Authority (CAA) – the regulatory body for Britain’s airports – has allowed the main airport operator BAA to increase substantially the landing charges it levies on airlines. The airlines have reacted angrily and argued that the higher charges will simply be passed on to passengers in the form of higher fares.
Q&A: Airport landing fees BBC News Online (11/3/08)
BAA to raise airport landing fees BBC News Online (11/3/08)
Fares will rise as fees cap is lifted Guardian (cartoon) (12/3/08)
Fares will rise as fees cap is lifted, airlines warn Guardian (12/3/08)
Video
BAA to raise landing fees BBC News Online
Questions
| 1. |
Explain the regulatory system in operation for the control of landing fees at UK airports . |
| 2. |
Explain why the CAA has increased the landing fees that BAA can charge for planes landing at UK airports. |
| 3. |
Is raising landing fees an efficient method of internalising the externalities associated with air travel? |
| 4. |
Evaluate the extent to which the higher landing fees will be passed on to airline passengers. Use diagrams as appropriate. You may also like to consider the relevance of the price elasticity of demand for air travel in determining the extent to which the higher landing fees can be passed on by the airlines. |
As if there wasn’t enough bad economic news at the start of 2008, Majestic Wine has been warning wine lovers to stock up early as the price of their favourite tipple is likely to rise considerably during 2008. The company is warning that, due to the strong euro and poor harvests, the price of an average bottle may rise by as much as £1.
Wine lovers find no escape from the woes of world’s economy Times Online (4/1/08)
Majestic warns of champagne price rise Telegraph (4/1/08)
Questions
| 1. |
Using diagrams as appropriate, illustrate the changes taking place in the market for champagne and other wines. |
| 2. |
Identify the principal determinants of the price elasticity of demand for wine. |
| 3. |
Discuss the extent to which a £1 rise in the price of a bottle of wine will affect the equilibrium market quantity. |