Peak oil is an important concept for the oil market. Peak oil is the moment in time at which the maximum extraction rate of oil is reached. From this moment on, production will decline. Basic economics tells us that the oil price will tend to rise from then on (unless demand were to fall faster), but the complexities of the demand and supply for oil dictate that there will not be a simple inverse relationship between the supply of oil and the price. In the articles below George Monbiot interviews Faith Birol, the Chief Economist of the International Energy Agency and the Asia Times article looks at the extent to which world economies rely on oil for energy and other needs. Oil prices may be low at the moment and the market may be awash with excess oil and not enough demand for it, but this is a short term phenomenon; there is little doubt about the long-term direction of the price.
When will the oil run out? Guardian (15/12/08)
Be careful what you wish for Asia Times (15/1/09)
Questions
- Write a short paragraph explaining what is meant by peak oil.
- Using diagrams as appropriate, explain the changes that took place in the oil price in the last six months of 2008.
- Analyse the likely impact on the UK economy of arriving at peak oil output in (a) the short term and (b) the long term.
- Discuss when peak oil is likely to arrive.
According to the article linked to below, the demand for offal has risen by 15% in France since the investment bank Lehman Brothers went out of business. Over the same time period French butchers have faced a 2.6% fall in the demand for beef. So is the global financial crisis set to make offal merchants rich?
Recipes for the recession bring offal back into fashion in France Times Online (20/11/08)
Let them eat offal Guardian (20/11/08)
Questions
- Given the recession in France, as what types of good would you classify (a) offal and (b) beef?
- What values would you expect for the income elasticity of demand for (a) offal and (b) beef?
- What are the principal determinants of the demand for offal?
- Using diagrams as appropriate, explain the changes that have taken place in the market for offal in recent months.
- Discuss the extent to which the increase in demand for offal has been caused by the promotional strategies adopted by The National Federation of French Offal Merchants.
Global food prices have been rising significantly in recent months and this has led to food riots in a number of countries, rationing being reintroduced in Pakistan and price controls being introduced in Russia. What has caused these rapidly rising prices and to what extent will they slow the rate of economic development in the Third World?
UK farmers forced to ride income rollercoaster Guardian (26/2/08)
They’re going to need a lot more money to meet the same needs Guardian podcast (26/2/08)
Feed the world? We are fighting a losing battle, UN admits Guardian (26/2/08)
Record rise in fuel prices fuels inflation Guardian (12/2/08)
India’s farmers struggling to keep food on the table Times Online (29/2/08)
Questions
| 1. |
Using supply and demand diagrams as appropriate, illustrate the changes taking place recently in world food markets. |
| 2. |
Assess the main factors affecting the level of farmers’ incomes in the UK . |
| 3. |
Analyse the likely impact of rising world food prices on the rate of economic development in Third World countries. |
With oil prices over $100 a barrel and petrol prices over £1 per litre, it is difficult to imagine a county where the entire tank of a 4×4 can be filled for 42p, but Venezuela is just such a country. Not surprisingly, Venezuelans are resisting any attempt to change the level of subsidy that creates this situation.
Cheap and cheerful: Venezuelans cling for right to petrol at 42p a tank Guardian (18/1/08)
Questions
| 1. |
Using supply and demand diagrams as appropriate, show the impact of the Venezuelan fuel subsidy on the equilibrium price of petrol. |
| 2. |
Assess the impact on economic efficiency of a subsidy on this scale. |
| 3. |
Discuss the impact on the socially optimal equilibrium level of output of the Venezuelan fuel subsidy. |
As if there wasn’t enough bad economic news at the start of 2008, Majestic Wine has been warning wine lovers to stock up early as the price of their favourite tipple is likely to rise considerably during 2008. The company is warning that, due to the strong euro and poor harvests, the price of an average bottle may rise by as much as £1.
Wine lovers find no escape from the woes of world’s economy Times Online (4/1/08)
Majestic warns of champagne price rise Telegraph (4/1/08)
Questions
| 1. |
Using diagrams as appropriate, illustrate the changes taking place in the market for champagne and other wines. |
| 2. |
Identify the principal determinants of the price elasticity of demand for wine. |
| 3. |
Discuss the extent to which a £1 rise in the price of a bottle of wine will affect the equilibrium market quantity. |